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Wheat Crisis in Zimbabwe is going to worsen the scenario, as the international price soars

Zimbabwe a southern African country is struggling between the Wheat crisis. The armed conflict between Ukraine and Russia the two largest wheat producers in the world triggered the Wheat crisis around the world and mainly impacted Zimbabwe.

There are a total of 20 countries in the world, which supplies Wheat around the globe but the recent Russia-Ukraine conflict suspended the export of Wheat. Those export countries hold Wheat to their own country to balance their own internal demand first.  

The fact that the Zimbabwean dollar, which local millers use to sell flour, has lost substantial value in comparison to the US dollar needed by suppliers isn't helping matters. This, according to industry sources, explains the massive headwinds that are suffocating millers. "Millers are presently facing major headwinds as wheat worldwide prices continue to rise, exacerbated by the depreciation of the Zimbabwe currency and reduced wheat allocations," said an official with one of the country's largest milling enterprises. 

Wheat

 As more than 20 grain-producing countries have banned shipments, international wheat prices are on the verge of breaking the USD700/mt barrier. Since the latest rise in local currency, the local currency has fallen from US $1:ZW $178 to US $1:ZW $349.  This is not the only concern for Zimbabwe, the wheat crisis also about to boosts the inflation rate. According to Zimstats, the Consumer inflation reached 131.7% in May.  

As a result, bread prices have risen by 70%, in Zimbabwe recently, increasing the country's spiral into hyperinflation and economic disaster, which is being exacerbated by additional gasoline price spikes. Due in part to the spillover effects of near-record wheat prices are soaring as a result of worries of a supply shortage, as well as plummeting shipments from Ukraine and Russia, which together account for more than a third of global wheat exports.

However, the price of bread has risen in response to new government initiatives aimed at encouraging the use of the rapidly depreciating Zimbabwean currency. Purchases made in foreign currencies are getting more expensive due to the fact that they must now be taxed in the unit of exchange. Zimbabwe buys wheat and grain from other countries.  Meanwhile, petrol prices increased from $1.68 to $1.73 (R26.60) and diesel prices increased from $1.71 to $1.76 (R27.08).

As a result, Zimbabwe, along with Malawi, now has the most expensive fuel in the southern African area. Increased refined gasoline costs have affected the region, according to Madzima, because it is largely reliant on fuel imports and subject to global oil price changes. The region's condition is increasing as a result of supply chain limitations caused by the Ukraine incursion, particularly for landlocked nations like Zimbabwe.

High gasoline prices cause higher transportation costs for practically all products, resulting in price increases for numerous items. This will have a negative impact in Zimbabwe, where high inflation is rapidly turning into hyperinflation.  

According to Zimbabwe's major opposition group, Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC), the country has the world's highest inflation rate of 256 percent, with over half of the population living in abject poverty. Electricity costs have also increased in recent weeks, while the depreciation of the Zimbabwe currency has exacerbated the problem.

Zimbabwe is already suffering from power outages, cash shortages, and a lack of critical drugs in hospitals. Business leaders have begun to save cash in anticipation of further tightening of the economic situation. As Zimbabwe's economy stagnates, calls for the government to dump the Zim currency in favor of the US dollar have become louder.

Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube, on the other hand, stated that full dollarization would have "nasty" consequences for the economy, including negative bank balances and a loss of competitiveness in the industrial sector.

About the Author

I, Jozef Behr, a blogger from Zimbabwe try to aware the world with the latest information about the country. My articles and blogs are mainly about the country and its current scenarios.   

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